NOP 126-124 PHX, December 5, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat PHX 126-124, and NOP's shots were worth 124.3 points to PHX's 114.4.

NOP 126-124 PHX, December 5, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	95	108	105.2	18/25	19.1	126	124.3
PHX	85	103	93.2	21/26	21.2	124	114.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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