MEM 115-110 SAC, December 5, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat SAC 115-110, but SAC's shots were worth 122.3 points to MEM's 109.3.

MEM 115-110 SAC, December 5, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	80	89	84.1	26/32	25.3	115	109.3
SAC	98	86	99.2	24/28	23.2	110	122.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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