CLE 126-114 DEN, December 5, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat DEN 126-114, but DEN's shots were worth 129.3 points to CLE's 118.9.

CLE 126-114 DEN, December 5, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	94	116	106.9	10/16	12.0	126	118.9
DEN	96	98	111.9	16/22	17.4	114	129.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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