MIA 134-93 LAL, December 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat LAL 134-93, but LAL's shots were worth 114.9 points to MIA's 114.4.

MIA 134-93 LAL, December 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	90	128	107.1	6/9	7.3	134	114.4
LAL	88	79	100.3	14/19	14.6	93	114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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