BOS 108-89 MIA, December 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat MIA 108-89, but MIA's shots were worth 108.9 points to BOS's 104.6.

BOS 108-89 MIA, December 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	89	97	94.5	11/13	10.0	108	104.6
MIA	87	70	90.6	19/23	18.3	89	108.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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