ATL 124-112 NOP, December 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat NOP 124-112, and ATL's shots were worth 133.1 points to NOP's 124.1.

ATL 124-112 NOP, December 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	96	108	118.0	16/20	15.1	124	133.1
NOP	100	101	111.5	11/17	12.6	112	124.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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