SAC 125-127 SAS, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat SAC 127-125, but SAC's shots were worth 119.0 points to SAS's 101.7.

SAC 125-127 SAS, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	101	106	100.0	19/24	19.0	125	119.0
SAS	82	107	82.0	20/24	19.8	127	101.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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