POR 131-137 DAL, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat POR 137-131, and DAL's shots were worth 123.2 points to POR's 105.9.

POR 131-137 DAL, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR8411691.515/1814.3131105.9
DAL87114101.123/2922.0137123.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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