TOR 119-116 MIA, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat MIA 119-116, but MIA's shots were worth 120.3 points to TOR's 117.2.

TOR 119-116 MIA, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	88	104	102.9	15/20	14.3	119	117.2
MIA	88	93	97.7	23/28	22.7	116	120.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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