CLE 115-111 BOS, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat BOS 115-111, but BOS's shots were worth 114.0 points to CLE's 112.4.

CLE 115-111 BOS, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	80	95	91.8	20/25	20.6	115	112.4
BOS	95	93	98.6	18/19	15.4	111	114.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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