MEM 136-121 IND, December 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat IND 136-121, and MEM's shots were worth 125.7 points to IND's 119.9.

MEM 136-121 IND, December 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM93114104.822/2720.8136125.7
IND9010099.821/2620.1121119.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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