UTA 94-106 DAL, November 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat UTA 106-94, but UTA's shots were worth 115.8 points to DAL's 104.3.

UTA 94-106 DAL, November 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	95	77	99.5	17/21	16.3	94	115.8
DAL	90	97	92.8	9/15	11.5	106	104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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