MIL 124-114 WAS, November 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat WAS 124-114, but WAS's shots were worth 120.4 points to MIL's 119.7.

MIL 124-114 WAS, November 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	86	104	102.2	20/25	17.5	124	119.7
WAS	87	91	100.4	23/24	20.0	114	120.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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