DET 96-111 PHI, November 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat DET 111-96, and PHI's shots were worth 106.2 points to DET's 105.6.

DET 96-111 PHI, November 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DET918191.715/1813.996105.6
PHI859588.816/2217.4111106.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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