CHA 104-107 ATL, November 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat CHA 107-104, but CHA's shots were worth 118.8 points to ATL's 115.0.

CHA 104-107 ATL, November 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	94	88	104.2	16/19	14.6	104	118.8
ATL	78	86	93.1	21/27	21.9	107	115.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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