MIN 104-115 SAC, November 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat MIN 115-104, and SAC's shots were worth 121.1 points to MIN's 102.0.

MIN 104-115 SAC, November 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	74	80	80.6	24/27	21.4	104	102.0
SAC	94	104	109.1	11/15	11.9	115	121.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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