ORL 133-119 CHI, November 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat CHI 133-119, and ORL's shots were worth 124.0 points to CHI's 108.7.

ORL 133-119 CHI, November 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	90	107	101.6	26/28	22.4	133	124.0
CHI	87	108	96.1	11/16	12.6	119	108.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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