IND 121-114 POR, November 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat POR 121-114, and IND's shots were worth 123.8 points to POR's 114.2.

IND 121-114 POR, November 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	94	105	107.7	16/20	16.0	121	123.8
POR	87	104	100.5	10/17	13.7	114	114.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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