CLE 124-135 ATL, November 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat CLE 135-124, but CLE's shots were worth 132.8 points to ATL's 130.6.

CLE 124-135 ATL, November 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE95103111.321/2821.5124132.8
ATL97112110.523/2520.0135130.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.