CHA 94-98 MIA, November 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat CHA 98-94, but CHA's shots were worth 105.7 points to MIA's 96.4.

CHA 94-98 MIA, November 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA989199.23/86.594105.7
MIA738079.318/2217.19896.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.