DEN 118-145 NYK, November 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat DEN 145-118, but DEN's shots were worth 122.8 points to NYK's 115.7.

DEN 118-145 NYK, November 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DEN9293101.325/2721.5118122.8
NYK92131102.614/1613.1145115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.