MEM 123-98 POR, November 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat POR 123-98, but POR's shots were worth 135.9 points to MEM's 129.2.

MEM 123-98 POR, November 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	87	98	102.3	25/34	26.9	123	129.2
POR	102	76	113.8	22/28	22.1	98	135.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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