IND 114-110 NOP, November 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat NOP 114-110, but NOP's shots were worth 116.8 points to IND's 115.5.

IND 114-110 NOP, November 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	91	103	103.0	11/16	12.5	114	115.5
NOP	87	99	102.2	11/19	14.6	110	116.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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