DET 102-100 TOR, November 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat TOR 102-100, but TOR's shots were worth 112.5 points to DET's 106.4.

DET 102-100 TOR, November 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	76	80	82.9	22/31	23.5	102	106.4
TOR	104	92	105.1	8/10	7.4	100	112.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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