CLE 122-108 TOR, November 24, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat TOR 122-108, but TOR's shots were worth 127.6 points to CLE's 125.3.

CLE 122-108 TOR, November 24, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	97	112	114.5	10/14	10.8	122	125.3
TOR	92	86	102.4	22/34	25.2	108	127.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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