MIA 123-118 DAL, November 24, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat DAL 123-118, and MIA's shots were worth 141.8 points to DAL's 134.2.

MIA 123-118 DAL, November 24, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	107	106	120.0	17/27	21.9	123	141.8
DAL	105	98	113.9	20/25	20.3	118	134.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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