LAL 102-127 DEN, November 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat LAL 127-102, and DEN's shots were worth 107.8 points to LAL's 104.2.

LAL 102-127 DEN, November 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	88	91	93.2	11/14	11.0	102	104.2
DEN	82	116	92.5	11/19	15.3	127	107.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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