LAL 118-119 ORL, November 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ORL beat LAL 119-118, but LAL's shots were worth 114.3 points to ORL's 113.0.

LAL 118-119 ORL, November 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	87	101	93.5	17/26	20.7	118	114.3
ORL	91	101	95.9	18/21	17.1	119	113.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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