TOR 110-105 MIN, November 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat MIN 110-105, but MIN's shots were worth 116.3 points to TOR's 109.9.

TOR 110-105 MIN, November 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	72	81	82.0	29/39	27.9	110	109.9
MIN	80	78	90.5	27/33	25.8	105	116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.