CHA 123-121 DET, November 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat DET 123-121, but DET's shots were worth 123.3 points to CHA's 113.5.

CHA 123-121 DET, November 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA9310897.215/2116.4123113.5
DET99101103.820/2519.5121123.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.