LAC 104-93 ORL, November 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat ORL 104-93, but ORL's shots were worth 101.9 points to LAC's 98.2.

LAC 104-93 ORL, November 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	77	87	81.0	17/21	17.1	104	98.2
ORL	75	74	83.0	19/24	18.9	93	101.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.