GSW 120-97 ATL, November 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat ATL 120-97, but ATL's shots were worth 122.8 points to GSW's 120.9.

GSW 120-97 ATL, November 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	101	108	107.3	12/18	13.5	120	120.9
ATL	105	82	104.4	15/24	18.5	97	122.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.