OKC 109-99 POR, November 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat POR 109-99, and OKC's shots were worth 122.7 points to POR's 108.7.

OKC 109-99 POR, November 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	91	89	103.4	20/23	19.3	109	122.7
POR	79	79	87.3	20/28	21.5	99	108.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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