MIL 122-106 CHI, November 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat CHI 122-106, and MIL's shots were worth 115.4 points to CHI's 99.2.

MIL 122-106 CHI, November 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	80	101	92.8	21/31	22.6	122	115.4
CHI	88	99	93.5	7/7	5.7	106	99.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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