SAC 108-109 ATL, November 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat SAC 109-108, and ATL's shots were worth 110.2 points to SAC's 105.3.

SAC 108-109 ATL, November 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC859490.114/1915.2108105.3
ATL839496.515/1813.7109110.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.