PHX 99-109 ORL, November 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ORL beat PHX 109-99, but PHX's shots were worth 111.5 points to ORL's 105.6.

PHX 99-109 ORL, November 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	83	82	91.6	17/25	19.9	99	111.5
ORL	76	89	86.2	20/25	19.5	109	105.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.