MIL 101-100 HOU, November 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat HOU 101-100, but HOU's shots were worth 114.7 points to MIL's 104.4.

MIL 101-100 HOU, November 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	83	89	89.6	12/19	14.8	101	104.4
HOU	100	89	104.8	11/13	9.8	100	114.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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