MIA 106-89 PHI, November 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat PHI 106-89, and MIA's shots were worth 117.5 points to PHI's 103.5.

MIA 106-89 PHI, November 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	87	85	98.3	21/23	19.2	106	117.5
PHI	84	80	94.1	9/12	9.5	89	103.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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