OKC 119-121 DAL, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat OKC 121-119, but OKC's shots were worth 119.4 points to DAL's 118.7.

OKC 119-121 DAL, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC8710098.819/2520.6119119.4
DAL849191.330/3627.3121118.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.