POR 114-110 ATL, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat ATL 114-110, and POR's shots were worth 123.4 points to ATL's 118.6.

POR 114-110 ATL, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR95102108.912/1914.5114123.4
ATL858999.221/2519.4110118.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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