WAS 104-124 DET, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat WAS 124-104, and DET's shots were worth 117.8 points to WAS's 98.1.

WAS 104-124 DET, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS839082.414/2015.710498.1
DET97109102.915/1914.9124117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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