CLE 128-114 CHA, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat CHA 128-114, but CHA's shots were worth 123.8 points to CLE's 114.9.

CLE 128-114 CHA, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE7710193.027/2821.9128114.9
CHA103104114.310/129.5114123.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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