IND 119-110 MIA, November 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat MIA 119-110, but MIA's shots were worth 110.3 points to IND's 107.9.

IND 119-110 MIA, November 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	85	101	91.9	18/20	15.9	119	107.9
MIA	90	91	93.9	19/20	16.4	110	110.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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