SAC 121-117 UTA, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat UTA 121-117, but UTA's shots were worth 106.0 points to SAC's 104.8.

SAC 121-117 UTA, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC8310384.718/2520.1121104.8
UTA758672.831/4233.2117106.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.