NOP 99-104 LAL, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat NOP 104-99, and LAL's shots were worth 112.3 points to NOP's 104.1.

NOP 99-104 LAL, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	83	81	86.8	18/23	17.3	99	104.1
LAL	89	90	98.0	14/18	14.3	104	112.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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