CHA 115-114 MIL, November 16, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat MIL 115-114, and CHA's shots were worth 122.2 points to MIL's 107.8.

CHA 115-114 MIL, November 16, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	93	97	105.5	18/21	16.7	115	122.2
MIL	92	109	99.5	5/11	8.3	114	107.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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