UTA 115-113 DAL, November 14, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat DAL 115-113, but DAL's shots were worth 104.8 points to UTA's 103.9.

UTA 115-113 DAL, November 14, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA859987.416/2116.4115103.9
DAL859889.815/2015.1113104.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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