SAC 127-104 PHX, November 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat PHX 127-104, but PHX's shots were worth 122.0 points to SAC's 97.7.

SAC 127-104 PHX, November 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	78	115	84.4	12/17	13.4	127	97.7
PHX	97	85	101.8	19/26	20.2	104	122.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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