No. POR beat MIN 106-98, but MIN's shots were worth 125.3 points to POR's 111.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 83 | 85 | 94.5 | 21/23 | 17.1 | 106 | 111.7 |
| MIN | 94 | 81 | 108.2 | 17/22 | 17.1 | 98 | 125.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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