LAL 128-123 MEM, November 13, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat MEM 128-123, but MEM's shots were worth 118.9 points to LAL's 117.4.

LAL 128-123 MEM, November 13, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	85	106	92.2	22/32	25.3	128	117.4
MEM	89	96	94.0	27/33	24.9	123	118.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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